Sunday, 21 October, 2018

Hurricane Bud: Path, models, latest forecast of Category 3 hurricane today

Hurricane Bud Posing Danger Along San Diego Coast Category 3 Hurricane Bud heads north off Mexican coast
Sandy Nunez | 12 June, 2018, 06:50

It was centered about 440 miles south-southeast of the tip of the Baja peninsula and was moving northwest at 7 mph.

Hurricane Bud is the sequel to last week's Hurricane Aletta, which was eventually downgraded to a tropical storm.

The National Hurricane Center said the chances of a tropical depression forming over the next five days were low - 20 percent.

The hurricane is moving north-west at about 10mph - a course it is expected to take until mid-week, the NHC said.

However, forecasters said conditions could be a bit more favorable for it to develop when and if it gets into the southwestern Gulf by the end of the week. The NHC noted that some additional strengthening is possible Monday but a decline in strength is expected to start by Tuesday.

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In terms of rainfall, Bud is predicted to drench southwestern Mexico with three to six inches, with some areas seeing as much as 10 inches.

A tropical storm watch is in effect between Manzanillo, Colima, and Cabo Corrientes.

The rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, forecasters said. Hurricane-force winds are extended outward up to 35 miles from the hurricane center, with tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles. The center said the hurricane's core was moving farther from Mexico's southwestern coast but still could generate unsafe heavy surf and rip currents over the coming days.

Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Aletta is expected to become a remnant by late Monday, the NHC said in an early-morning advisory. It was about 600 miles (965 kilometres) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.