Friday, 19 October, 2018

Tropical Storm Michael could bring heavy rainfall to Mexico, Cuba, Gulf Coast

Potential Tropical Cyclone Could Hit The US This Week Potential Tropical Cyclone Could Hit The US This Week
Deanna Wagner | 10 October, 2018, 15:54

The storm at 8 a.m. was travelling with 35-mph winds. It was moving north at 12 miles per hour.

The NWS release said major impacts are possible by mid-week, but that could change, depending on the cyclone's track and intensity.

Meteorologist Adam Klotz discusses timeline, details of tropical storm Michael.

It is moving slowly moving north at 6 miles per hour and is starting to pick up speed. Information from The Ledger staff was added to this report.

The fact there have been these events in recent weeks and months does mean that for some worldwide re/insurance players, aggregate and attritional losses have been mounting, meaning that any sizeable losses from hurricane Michael could see reinsurance and retrocessional arrangements quickly coming into play.

Scott said Michael could turn into a Category 2 storm with winds topping 100 miles per hour and could bring damaging storm surge. Tomorrow, a NE turn is still expected.

Michael might bring strong winds and possible power outages to the area, according to St. Johns County Emergency Management. It's not uncommon for it to flood in St. Augustine during hurricanes and bad storms. The next advisory is at 11:00 a.m. ET.

With Tropical Storm Michael expected to become a hurricane Monday, the National Hurricane Center has issued a hurricane watch for the Alabama-Florida border to the Suwanee River. "It's going to be fast moving and we're not likely to see a lot of widespread flooding, but certainly minor flooding is a possibility". The storm is most likely to make a direct strike on Florida's Gulf Coast, but coastal Alabama and MS also may deal with direct storm effects and should monitor forecasts. A Storm Surge Warning is now up for the entire Big Bend coast as well.

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Florida Panhandle: SE windswell builds today, especially western beaches. "We're going to get storm surge, we have wind, we have a chance of flooding, we have a significant chance of tornadoes". Michael was now a Category 1 hurricane, at the bottom of the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale.

The latest guidance shows Michael strengthening into a Category 1 hurricane before making landfall.

As of the 5:00am advisory, the storm has maximum sustained winds of 70 miles per hour. Rough surf as well as gusty winds and heavy rain will occur along the Gulf Coast as early as Tuesday.

After the storm moves inland, it could dump additional unwanted rain on the Carolinas, which were battered by Florence in September. Specifics will be ironed out as the storm gets closer.

After numerous attritional catastrophes around the globe in recent weeks, another landfalling hurricane would serve to perhaps underpin reinsurance rates somewhat at the next renewals. Parts of the Florida panhandle near Pensacola down to Anna Maria Island, including Tampa Bay, are under storm surge watch. "Storm preparations should be rushed to completion today and Tuesday". The center of the storm is then expected to move across Georgia as a tropical storm, before moving across the Carolinas and southeast Virginia before going back out to sea by next weekend.

You can catch the forecast on ABC 27 News starting at 5:00 each weekday morning, as well as ABC 27 News at Noon.

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