Friday, 18 January, 2019

Democrats hold 7-point edge going into midterms

Some 250,000 jobs were created last month beating expectations Some 250,000 jobs were created last month beating expectations
Ginger Lawrence | 07 November, 2018, 21:00

But two years after an election that proved polls and prognosticators wrong, nothing is certain on the eve of the first nationwide elections of the Trump presidency. Wage growth is anemic.

Still, their victories in Illinois, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin, were balanced by Republicans holding on to one of the top prizes, Florida, and the governor's offices in OH and Arizona.

President Donald Trump appears to be distancing himself from the fate of House Republican candidates two days before the midterm elections. By nature, for whatever reason, I tend to see the cup as half full rather than half empty. "Because at that point we're all in it together or it's not going to happen".

In 2008-2009, such regulatory power had been used to coerce banks into giving many billions of dollars in home loans to millions of borrowers who were not creditworthy as the latest democratic way to redistribute America's wealth.

"2018 could be a really powerful kick to Republicans to say, 'Hey, maybe you should think about redistricting reforms, because you lost a bunch of seats in 2018 and you don't know what 2020 looks like, '" said Michael Li, senior counsel for the Democracy Program at the Brennan Center for Justice.

There are indications that a modest "blue wave" of support may help Democrats seize control of at least one chamber of Congress.

Since the early 1990s, such situations have meant political deadlock, with important legislation almost impossible to drive through both Congressional houses because of political enmity.

Democrats hold a 3.7 million edge in voter registrations, and Republicans are also outnumbered by independents, who in California tend to vote like Democrats.

Two of the most-watched races in the country are in Florida.

US foreign policy, now completely under National Security Advisor John Bolton's malign influence, would also remain on its current tack, aggressively promoting USA advantage at the expense of worldwide political and economic unrest. With many battleground House races taking place in more affluent suburbs, the unusual Trump-era advantage Democrats continue to maintain among college-educated whites - especially women - represent a strong sign for their prospects of gaining or exceeding the 23-seat gain they need to recapture the majority.

Angry Anderson's Son Liam Anderson Killed In Sydney
Angry Anderson's manager, Scot Crawford , asked in a statement that media and the general public respect the family's privacy. Friends of the 26-year-old later gathered at the scene to lay flowers and handwritten notes.

That brings us to the second unlikely result.

The results are a reminder of the folly of relying entirely on polling, which was highlighted after Donald Trump's election in 2016, despite the vast majority of polls suggesting that his opponent, Hillary Clinton, was nearly certain to win the presidency. But history has shown us time and time again that young people hardly vote in the midterms if at all. Ultimately, this result would probably mean two years of largely fruitless Congressional activity.

Parties that fully control the legislative and executive branches can enact policies that might not pass with a divided government. Dana Rohrabacher and Mimi Walters, both closely tied to Trump.

Elsewhere, there was better news for Republicans. Indeed, the United States leader's party has lost seats in all but three of the 29 midterms held since 1900.

In addition to his conversation with Pelosi, Trump called Republican Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, as well as a number of candidates he backed during the race, the White House said.

On the other hand, the Democrats may recognize the situation's essence for what it is and settle for simply stymieing the Republican agenda as much as possible. While holding the same powers granted to the House of Representatives on legislation, the Senate also has a number of special powers including being the sole jury once impeachment of a president goes to trial.

But on the cusp of Tuesday's vote, many Democrats are as anxious as they are hopeful.

All 435 seats in the U.S. House are up for re-election.

The day of reckoning for USA politics approaches as Americans prepare to go to the polls. But because it has a media machine behind it strong enough to mobilize more than 60 million voters, it maintains the ability to paralyze USA legislative processes when deemed necessary, and to enact radical policies when the opportunity arises.