NOAA's Winter Outlook favors a warmer than average season across Mid-State
18 October, 2020, 22:29
Will this winter be any different?
"This is the most widespread drought that we have seen in the continental USA since September 2013", Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said during the 15 October event.
Widespread, ongoing drought is now in place across the western half of the continental U.S. Drought conditions are expected to expand and intensify across the southern and central Plains, Southwest and in California during the months ahead.
Elements of the northern U.S. - from Washington to MI - are anticipated to see a wetter-than-normal winter, whereas the remainder of the nation will expertise regular winter climate.
Wetter-than-average conditions are most likely from the Pacific Northwest, Northern Plains, Great Lakes and into the Ohio Valley. In terms of whether precipitation will be higher or lower than normal, it's a toss-up.
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Most of the Pacific Northwest. however, has about a 40% chance of having a wetter than normal winter.
That follows a drought season which has mostly impacted the southern and western parts of the country and will extend a bit further still, but which itself is separate from the winter weather outlook.
Overall, AccuWeather predicts the New Jersey region will likely get far more snow than past year, but total accumulations will be 25% to 50% less than we normally get.
If that happens, the northern and eastern United States would get fewer blasts of Arctic air, and longer stretches of milder than normal temperatures. According to NOAA's map, there are equal chances the region could see more, less, or equal to the amount as in the past.
As of this writing, we're still only a few weeks into fall 2020 with 67 days until winter begins.